Minimum Description Length (MDL) estimators, using two-part codes for universal coding, are analyzed. For general parametric families under certain regularity conditions, we introduce a two-part code whose regret is close to the minimax regret, where regret of a code with respect to a target family M is the difference between the code length of the code and the ideal code length achieved by an element in M. This is a generalization of the result for exponential families by Gr\"unwald. Our code is constructed by using an augmented structure of M with a bundle of local exponential families for data description, which is not needed for exponential families. This result gives a tight upper bound on risk and loss of the MDL estimators based on the theory introduced by Barron and Cover in 1991. Further, we show that we can apply the result to mixture families, which are a typical example of non-exponential families.

The growing size of modern data brings many new challenges to existing statistical inference methodologies and theories, and calls for the development of distributed inferential approaches. This paper studies distributed inference for linear support vector machine (SVM) for the binary classification task. Despite a vast literature on SVM, much less is known about the inferential properties of SVM, especially in a distributed setting. In this paper, we propose a multi-round distributed linear-type (MDL) estimator for conducting inference for linear SVM. The proposed estimator is computationally efficient. In particular, it only requires an initial SVM estimator and then successively refines the estimator by solving simple weighted least squares problem. Theoretically, we establish the Bahadur representation of the estimator. Based on the representation, the asymptotic normality is further derived, which shows that the MDL estimator achieves the optimal statistical efficiency, i.e., the same efficiency as the classical linear SVM applying to the entire dataset in a single machine setup. Moreover, our asymptotic result avoids the condition on the number of machines or data batches, which is commonly assumed in distributed estimation literature, and allows the case of diverging dimension. We provide simulation studies to demonstrate the performance of the proposed MDL estimator.

We study the properties of the MDL (or maximum penalized complexity) estimator for Regression and Classification, where the underlying model class is countable. We show in particular a finite bound on the Hellinger losses under the only assumption that there is a "true" model contained in the class. This implies almost sure convergence of the predictive distribution to the true one at a fast rate. It corresponds to Solomonoff's central theorem of universal induction, however with a bound that is exponentially larger.